Tag Archives: Republican

Could Mike Huckabee Have Beat Mitt Romney?

The best case scenario: Huckabee pounds Romney in Iowa, runs a close second in New Hampshire, breaks 50% in South Carolina, and then Mitt Romney says that he doesn’t care about poor people. It’s an open question whether momentum for Huckabee would have started setting in at this point, but let’s say it does and Huckabee takes a double-digit national lead. Huckabee wins Florida and then Michigan at the end of February. On Super Tuesday, Romney’s final stand, Huckabee breaks 65% in the South and wins Ohio by double-digits. Romney drops out and endorses Huckabee. Continue reading

Posted in 2012 Republican Primary, Mike Huckabee, Mitt Romney | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Romney’s Shifting New Hampshire Coalition

This is part of a series of posts analyzing how Mitt Romney’s 2012 coalition has changed from his 2008 coalition. Hopefully such analysis will provide clues as to Romney’s performance in the general election. Continue reading

Posted in 2012 Presidential Election, 2012 Republican Primary, Mitt Romney, New Hampshire | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Romney’s Shifting Iowa Coalition

Mitt Romney has famously been running for president for the past four years. He seems to be having more success this time; at the moment, Romney is the unquestioned frontrunner for the Republican nomination.
A previous post analyzed Romney’s voting coalition based off of exit polls. Given that Romney also ran for president in 2008, there are also a lot of exit polls which provide information of Romney’s coalition in 2008. Continue reading

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Why Don’t Hmong-Americans Vote Republican?

Perhaps no group in America has suffered more from Communism than the Hmong community. Continue reading

Posted in Asians, Democrats, Election Analysis, Republicans | Tagged , , , , , , | 13 Comments

The Curious Story of How Daniel Boman Switched Parties

In this state of affairs, something quite remarkable happened: a Republican politician, State Representative Daniel Boman, switched to the Democratic Party. Continue reading

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Why Does Mississippi Vote Republican?

To answer the question in the post’s title, Mississippi votes Republican because Vermont votes Democratic. Or, to put it another way, Vermont votes Democratic because Mississippi votes Republican. And as long as presidential elections continue to happen, Mississippi will probably be voting the opposite way Vermont does. Continue reading

Posted in Mississippi, South, Vermont | Tagged , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Analyzing Swing States: Pennsylvania, Conclusions

This is the last part of a series of posts analyzing the swing state Pennsylvania. The previous parts can be found starting here. Conclusions For many decades, Pennsylvania constituted model of Democratic strength based upon working-class votes. Today that is … Continue reading

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